Hearts
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.33xG
-1.94AFC xGD
xG0.39
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatMatch in 30 seconds
Second best on chances
0.39–2.33xG for–against
The opposition created more — 2.33 xG against Aberdeen's 0.39.
Aggressive press
9.1PPDA · 14.3 avg
Aberdeen pressed hard — 9.1 passes allowed per defensive action versus a 14.3 average (lower is more aggressive).
Standout performer
7.6D. Mitov
D. Mitov ran the show — a 7.6 rating.
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 0 pts · expected 0.20 · -0.20
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?0% luck · mostly down to skill
About 0% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.36Hearts 1.69GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
The opponent created more — 2.33 xG to Aberdeen's 0.39. Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.39
2.33
1.19
Shots
5
22
11
Shots on target
0
7
3
Big chances
0
4
2
Box touches
17
31
22
xG per shot
0.08
0.11
0.11
Territory & progression
Territory and possession were about typical for Aberdeen.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
47%
53%
48%
Field tilt
54%
46%
51%
Progressive passes
33
—
46
Final-third entries
42
82
55
xT (threat created)
1.87
—
1.88
Without the ball
Aberdeen gave up more than usual — 2.33 xGA, above the season average. The press was aggressive (PPDA 9.1).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
2.33
0.39
1.56
PPDA
9.1
—
14.3
High regains
5
—
5
Tackles
17
—
16
Interceptions
20
—
9
Opp. box touches
31
17
26
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
5shots
38th of 38 · season worst
0.39xG
37th of 38 · among the worst
0shots on target
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WLLLD(last 5)
Away this season: 4-2-13, 0.96–1.71 xG avg
After scoring first: 10-3-2 (15 games)