Motherwell (H) 1–1
Livingston (A) 1–0 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
The scoreline flattered Aberdeen relative to the chance quality.
6–17 shots · 0–5 big chances · 0.56–2.30 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.56 – 2.30
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hearts
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.09 – 0.14
xG per shot
6 – 17
shots
Hearts created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.00 – 2.56
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hearts
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
66% – 34%
field tilt
54 – 93
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Hearts's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.30 xGA
chances conceded
0.74 worse than AFC baseline (1.56)
29 (base 25)
Hearts box touches
0.14
xG per Hearts shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
ShapeAberdeen started 3-4-2-1 and stayed in it for the whole match. Hearts stayed in 5-4-1 throughout.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.56 | 1.19 | 2.30 |
| Big chances | 0 | 1.8 | 5 |
| Touches in box | 14 | 21.6 | 29 |
| Possession % | 40 | 48.1 | 60 |
Aberdeen's best work came before half time — 0.48 xG to 0.08 after.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Hearts.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.56Hearts 2.30GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
6%
15%
79%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
6 shots
Hearts shots
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
17 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
6shots · 2 on target · 0.56 xG
By situation
50%
33%
17%
Open play350%
Counter233%
Free kick / throw117%
By body part
33%
67%
Right foot233%
Left foot467%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 6Hearts 17
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | SPFL average 116 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 6 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 14.4 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 14 of 195 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 14 of 195 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 4 | 8.3 | 8 | 9.9 | below usual · 22 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 22 of 195 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
34.3%
38.7%
27.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
90.0%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
30avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
82.7%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
38avg 50
Directness
62.2%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 303 | 396.2 | 393 | below usual · 38 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 38 of 195 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 71.3 | 75.5 | 72.3 | about normal · 72 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 72 of 195 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 23 | 30.8 | 25.4 | about normal · 89 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 89 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 47 | 57.5 | 57.9 | below usual · 34 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 34 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 15.5 | 14.8 | 15.6 | about normal · 107 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 107 of 195 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
4 saves
5/30
Pass
0%
Duels
4
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
6 clearances
16/20
Pass
63%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
J. MilneDEF90'
8 clearances
15/19
Pass
-
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
16 clearances · 9 aerials won
21/32
Pass
67%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
L
D. LobbanMID81'
4 dribbles won
13/21
Pass
47%
Duels
-
Key P
A
A. AouchicheMID90'
1 key pass
35/45
Pass
26%
Duels
1
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID84'
1 key pass
32/36
Pass
20%
Duels
1
Key P
J
A. JensenMID90'
3 dribbles won
21/30
Pass
55%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
K
T. KeskinenFWD84'
1 goal · 1 key pass
13/18
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
S. ArmstrongFWD81'
33/44
Pass
44%
Duels
2
Shots
L
M. LazetićFWD84'
8/10
Pass
37%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
S
G. ShinnieMID14'
2/6
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
M
N. MilanovićFWD14'
1/2
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
K. NisbetFWD14'
4/5
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
G. MolloyDEF9'
1/1
Pass
60%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
C
L. ClarksonMID9'
2/2
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
Context
How this match compares
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
66%field tilt
1st of 38 · season best
Form:WWLWD(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Hearts at Home — every meeting on record
6-1-0(7 games)
1.58–1.22avg xG
WDWWWWW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.56avg 1.21
9th worst of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
2.30avg 1.54
7th worst of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
40%avg 48%
9th worst of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
6.0avg 11.4
6th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.4
18th worst of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.8
7th worst of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Box touches
14.0avg 21.5
6th worst of 38 · Highest 35.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
54.0avg 55.4
18th worst of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
3.0avg 8.3
worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 4.0, 29 October 2025 (1-0)
Corners
6.0avg 4.6
6th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
22.0avg 15.6
5th best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
9.0avg 8.5
13th best of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
16.4avg 15.1
10th worst of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
5%avg 5%
13th worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg