Dundee United
0–0
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
1.02xG
+0.43AFC xGD
xG1.46
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Tight gameMatch in 30 seconds
Aggressive press
7.8PPDA · 14.3 avg
Aberdeen pressed hard — 7.8 passes allowed per defensive action versus a 14.3 average (lower is more aggressive).
Standout performer
7.9G. Shinnie
G. Shinnie ran the show — a 7.9 rating.
Controlled the ball
57%possession · 48% avg
Aberdeen dominated the ball — 57% possession against a 48% season average.
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 1 pt · expected 1.58 · -0.58
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?2% luck · mostly down to skill
About 2% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 1.49Dundee United 1.31GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
12 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
Chances were finely balanced (1.46 xG to 1.02).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
1.46
1.02
1.19
Shots
12
15
11
Shots on target
1
3
3
Big chances
1
1
2
Box touches
34
17
22
xG per shot
0.12
0.07
0.11
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
57%
43%
48%
Field tilt
64%
36%
51%
Progressive passes
51
—
46
Final-third entries
72
46
55
xT (threat created)
3.17
—
1.88
Without the ball
A controlled defensive display — 1.02 xGA, below the season average. The press was aggressive (PPDA 7.8).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
1.02
1.46
1.56
PPDA
7.8
—
14.3
High regains
2
—
5
Tackles
19
—
16
Interceptions
4
—
9
Opp. box touches
17
34
26
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
34box touches
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
64%field tilt
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 4-2-13, 0.96–1.71 xG avg
After scoring first: 10-3-2 (15 games)