Aberdeen
1–1
FT · Draw
Motherwell
0.80xG
+0.12AFC xGD
xG0.68
Expected points 1.57–1.57
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
Two points dropped on the chances created.
Motherwell generated more attacking volume — 10 shots and 25 box touches to Aberdeen's 6 and 11. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.13 xG per shot to 0.07, and the bigger ones (1–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.57 – 1.57
From the full xG (0.80–0.68), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.57 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.80–0.68). Took 1.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
0.80 – 0.68
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Motherwell
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.13 – 0.07
xG per shot
6 – 10
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 2 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.02 – 3.39
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Motherwell
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
48% – 52%
field tilt
34 – 70
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.68 xGA
chances conceded
0.88 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
25 (base 26)
Motherwell box touches
0.07
xG per Motherwell shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
ShapeAberdeen started 3-4-3 and stayed in it for the whole match. Motherwell stayed in 4-2-3-1 throughout.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.80Motherwell 0.68GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
36%
38%
27%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Motherwell Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
0shots · 0 on target
By situation
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 0Motherwell 10
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | SPFL average 66 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 6 | 9.8 | 12.1 | 14.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 14 of 190 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 14 of 190 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 10.2 | below usual · 36 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 36 of 190 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
52.0%
29.9%
18.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
67.9%avg 60.4%
GK Total Passes
28avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
89.3%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
36avg 49
Directness
54.1%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 315 | 376.8 | 392.4 | below usual · 41 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 41 of 190 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 76.8 | 75.4 | 72.2 | about normal · 126 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 126 of 190 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 12 | 27.2 | 25.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 15 of 190 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 15 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 40 | 53.2 | 57.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 10 of 190 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 10 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 12.7 | 14.4 | 15.6 | below usual · 53 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 53 of 190 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.79 | 1.17 | 0.68 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Touches in box | 11 | 21.6 | 25 |
| Possession % | 35 | 48.1 | 65 |
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
FotMob period stats — same source as the match xG. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Motherwell.
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Motherwell at Home — every meeting on record
5-1-2(8 games)
1.62–1.41avg xG (n=7)
WWWDWLLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.80avg 1.20
15th worst of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
0.68avg 1.58
5th best of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
35%avg 48%
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
6.0avg 11.4
6th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.4
18th worst of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
11.0avg 21.8
4th worst of 38 · Highest 37.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
34.0avg 56.0
4th worst of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.2
17th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
4.0avg 4.7
17th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
27.0avg 15.5
best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 11 January 2026 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
3.0avg 8.6
4th worst of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
23.4avg 14.9
2nd worst of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
2%avg 6%
worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWWLW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match