St Mirren (H) 3–3
Kilmarnock (H) 2–1 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
Aberdeen edged the chances and won a close game.
21–15 shots · 1–1 big chances · 1.38–1.12 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.38 – 1.12
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.07 – 0.07
xG per shot
21 – 15
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.22 – 2.53
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
57% – 43%
field tilt
61 – 62
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.12 xGA
chances conceded
0.44 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
23 (base 25)
Dundee FC box touches
0.07
xG per Dundee FC shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
ShapeAberdeen started 3-4-2-1 and stayed in it for the whole match. Dundee FC stayed in 4-5-1 throughout.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Dundee FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 1.38 | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Touches in box | 24 | 21.6 | 23 |
| Possession % | 46 | 48.1 | 54 |
Aberdeen's best work came before half time — 1.03 xG to 0.35 after.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Dundee FC.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.38Dundee FC 1.12GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
42%
27%
31%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
3 goals: 3 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
21 shots
Dundee FC shots
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
21shots · 9 on target · 1.38 xG
By situation
57%
10%
14%
19%
Open play1257%
Counter210%
Corner314%
Free kick / throw419%
By body part
71%
24%
Right foot1571%
Left foot524%
Head15%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 21Dundee FC 15
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | SPFL average 116 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 21 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 14.4 | top 10% in 195 matches · 181 of 195 lower |
| top 10% in 195 matches · 181 of 195 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 13 | 8.3 | 8 | 9.9 | above usual · 168 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 168 of 195 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
43.4%
32.8%
23.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
66.7%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
21avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.4%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
45avg 50
Directness
56.7%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 355 | 396.2 | 393 | about normal · 73 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 73 of 195 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 78.9 | 75.5 | 72.3 | above usual · 153 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 153 of 195 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 35 | 30.8 | 25.4 | above usual · 161 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 161 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 57 | 57.5 | 57.9 | about normal · 92 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 92 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 16.1 | 14.8 | 15.6 | about normal · 119 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 119 of 195 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
8/21
Pass
-
Duels
1
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
21/23
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
J. MilneDEF90'
1 key pass
24/30
Pass
75%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
7 clearances · 4 aerials won
35/40
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
MID
L
D. LobbanMID70'
1 key pass · 3 dribbles won
22/28
Pass
70%
Duels
1
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID90'
4 tackles
33/41
Pass
79%
Duels
-
Key P
A
A. AouchicheMID90'
2 goals · 2 key passes · 4 shots
43/54
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Key P
J
A. JensenMID90'
3 key passes · 5 clearances
24/31
Pass
22%
Duels
3
Key P
FWD
K
J. KarlssonFWD70'
4 key passes · 4 shots
24/31
Pass
33%
Duels
4
Shots
S. ArmstrongFWD90'
1 assist · 3 key passes · 5 shots
37/42
Pass
40%
Duels
5
Shots
L
M. LazetićFWD64'
1 key pass
7/9
Pass
22%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
K. NisbetFWD26'
1 goal
5/6
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Shots
K
T. KeskinenFWD20'
6/6
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Shots
S
G. ShinnieMID20'
7/7
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
Context
How this match compares
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
26.50
Defensive line height
7th lowest of 192
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
21shots
1st of 38 · season best
8shots on target
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:WDWWD(last 5)
Away this season: 4-2-13, 0.96–1.71 xG avg
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Dundee FC — every meeting on record
2-1-4(7 games)
0.97–1.53avg xG
LLWWLDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.38avg 1.19
12th best of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
1.12avg 1.57
15th best of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
46%avg 48%
19th worst of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
21.0avg 11.0
best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
8.0avg 3.3
2nd best of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
23.0avg 21.2
13th best of 38 · Highest 35.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
61.0avg 55.2
13th best of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
15.0avg 8.0
best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
4.0avg 4.7
17th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
16.0avg 15.8
16th best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
8.0avg 8.5
16th best of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
15.3avg 15.1
14th worst of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
6%avg 5%
14th best of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg