Hibernian (H) 1–2
Motherwell (H) 1–1 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
The scoreline flattered Aberdeen relative to the chance quality.
6–14 shots · 1–2 big chances · 0.55–1.36 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.55 – 1.36
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.09 – 0.10
xG per shot
6 – 14
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.00 – 3.86
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
47% – 53%
field tilt
59 – 66
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.36 xGA
chances conceded
0.20 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
27 (base 25)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.10
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
ShapeAberdeen started 3-4-3 and stayed in it for the whole match. Kilmarnock stayed in 3-5-2 throughout.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.55 | 1.19 | 1.36 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Touches in box | 8 | 21.6 | 28 |
| Possession % | 43 | 48.1 | 57 |
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Kilmarnock.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.55Kilmarnock 1.36GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
13%
29%
58%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
6 shots
Kilmarnock shots
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
6shots · 3 on target · 0.55 xG
By situation
83%
17%
Open play583%
Free kick / throw117%
By body part
83%
17%
Right foot583%
Left foot117%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 6Kilmarnock 14
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | SPFL average 116 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 6 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 14.4 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 14 of 195 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Hearts, Feb 2026 · 14 of 195 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 2 | 8.3 | 8 | 9.9 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Aug 2023 · 5 of 195 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Aug 2023 · 5 of 195 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
52.6%
29.4%
18.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
59.6%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
47avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
87.0%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
31avg 50
Directness
54.1%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 343 | 396.2 | 393 | about normal · 66 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 66 of 195 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 72.3 | 75.5 | 72.3 | about normal · 86 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 86 of 195 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 20 | 30.8 | 25.4 | about normal · 60 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 60 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 71 | 57.5 | 57.9 | above usual · 164 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 164 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 20.7 | 14.8 | 15.6 | above usual · 166 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 166 of 195 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
4 saves
26/47
Pass
100%
Duels
4
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
8 clearances
29/35
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
J. MilneDEF90'
12 clearances
28/37
Pass
67%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
8 clearances
35/46
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
L
D. LobbanMID90'
7 clearances
18/25
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID90'
5 clearances
19/32
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
30/42
Pass
58%
Duels
-
Key P
J
A. JensenMID90'
2 key passes
19/28
Pass
56%
Duels
2
Key P
FWD
S. ArmstrongFWD90'
1 goal · 1 key pass
26/32
Pass
38%
Duels
1
Shots
L
M. LazetićFWD71'
4/6
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Shots
K
J. KarlssonFWD90'
1 key pass · 3 shots
23/29
Pass
44%
Duels
3
Shots
Substitutes
K. NisbetFWD19'
6/8
Pass
30%
Duels
-
Shots
Context
How this match compares
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
26.60
Defensive line height
8th lowest of 192
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
9box touches
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLWWL(last 5)
Away this season: 4-2-13, 0.96–1.71 xG avg
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Kilmarnock — every meeting on record
1-0-5(6 games)
0.54–2.45avg xG (n=5)
LLLLLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.55avg 1.21
8th worst of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
1.36avg 1.57
19th best of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
43%avg 48%
14th worst of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
6.0avg 11.4
6th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.4
18th best of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
9.0avg 21.6
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 35.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
59.0avg 55.3
15th best of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
4.0avg 8.3
5th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
2.0avg 4.8
6th worst of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
12.0avg 15.9
10th worst of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
7.0avg 8.5
19th worst of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
16.3avg 15.1
11th worst of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
3%avg 6%
7th worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg