Hibernian (A) 0–2
Rangers (A) 0–2 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
7–21 shots · 0–1 big chances · 0.57–1.53 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.57 – 1.53
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Falkirk
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.08 – 0.07
xG per shot
7 – 21
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
2.25 – 2.78
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Falkirk
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
45% – 55%
field tilt
41 – 77
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.53 xGA
chances conceded
0.03 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
30 (base 25)
Falkirk box touches
0.07
xG per Falkirk shot
Falkirk accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-2-3-1 and stayed in it for the whole match. Falkirk stayed in 4-2-3-1 throughout.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.57 | 1.19 | 1.53 |
| Big chances | 0 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Touches in box | 19 | 21.6 | 32 |
| Possession % | 44 | 48.1 | 56 |
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Falkirk.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.57Falkirk 1.53GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
13%
25%
62%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Falkirk shots
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
21 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
7shots · 1 on target · 0.57 xG
By situation
57%
14%
14%
14%
Open play457%
Counter114%
Corner114%
Free kick / throw114%
By body part
57%
14%
29%
Right foot457%
Left foot114%
Head229%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 7Falkirk 21
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | SPFL average 116 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 14.4 | below usual · 25 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 25 of 195 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | 9.9 | below usual · 37 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 195 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
55.4%
26.7%
17.9%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
55.2%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
29avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
82.2%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
36avg 50
Directness
59.8%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 334 | 396.2 | 393 | about normal · 59 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 59 of 195 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 74 | 75.5 | 72.3 | about normal · 102 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 102 of 195 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 24 | 30.8 | 25.4 | about normal · 96 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 96 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 43 | 57.5 | 57.9 | below usual · 20 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 20 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 12.9 | 14.8 | 15.6 | below usual · 57 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 57 of 195 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
1 key pass · 6 saves
18/29
Pass
100%
Duels
6
Saves
DEF
L
D. LobbanDEF74'
1 key pass
14/22
Pass
0%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
J. MilneDEF90'
10 clearances
29/34
Pass
25%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
5 clearances
38/47
Pass
38%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
S
G. ShinnieDEF90'
4 tackles
32/37
Pass
50%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
S. ArmstrongMID90'
35/47
Pass
57%
Duels
-
Key P
A
A. AouchicheMID35'
2 key passes
14/18
Pass
75%
Duels
2
Key P
B
K. BilalovicMID45'
4/6
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
K
J. KarlssonMID74'
1 key pass · 3 dribbles won
12/20
Pass
43%
Duels
1
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID90'
3 dribbles won
10/12
Pass
38%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD80'
1 key pass
11/16
Pass
38%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
N
S. NilsenMID55'
4 tackles
23/29
Pass
59%
Duels
-
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID45'
12/16
Pass
57%
Duels
-
Key P
D
N. DevlinDEF16'
5/5
Pass
0%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
L
M. LazetićFWD16'
2/3
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
M
N. MilanovićFWD10'
2/4
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
Context
How this match compares
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0shots on target
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WWLDL(last 5)
Away this season: 4-2-13, 0.96–1.71 xG avg
Historical Context
How this match compares to the season so far
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.57avg 1.21
11th worst of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
1.53avg 1.56
18th worst of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
44%avg 48%
17th worst of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
7.0avg 11.4
10th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
0.0avg 3.5
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.8
7th worst of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
20.0avg 21.3
19th best of 38 · Highest 35.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
41.0avg 55.8
6th worst of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.2
17th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
4.0avg 4.7
17th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
18.0avg 15.8
11th best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
3.0avg 8.6
4th worst of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
15.9avg 15.1
12th worst of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
4%avg 6%
9th worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg