Aberdeen
0–2
FT · Loss
Rangers
0.32xG
-1.63AFC xGD
xG1.94
Expected points 0.20–2.44
Deserved defeatMatch in 30 seconds
Aggressive press
8.1PPDA · 14.3 avg
Aberdeen pressed hard — 8.1 passes allowed per defensive action versus a 14.3 average (lower is more aggressive).
Second best on chances
0.32–1.94xG for–against
The opposition created more — 1.94 xG against Aberdeen's 0.32.
Standout performer
7.6D. Mitov
D. Mitov ran the show — a 7.6 rating.
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 0 pts · expected 0.20 · -0.20
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?59% luck · mostly luck
About 59% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.32Rangers 1.94GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
The opponent created more — 1.94 xG to Aberdeen's 0.32. Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.32
1.94
1.19
Shots
7
18
11
Shots on target
5
9
3
Big chances
0
5
2
Box touches
17
21
22
xG per shot
0.05
0.11
0.11
Territory & progression
Aberdeen ceded territory and saw less of the ball than they normally do.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
52%
48%
48%
Field tilt
42%
58%
51%
Progressive passes
36
—
46
Final-third entries
42
57
55
xT (threat created)
1.23
—
1.88
Without the ball
Aberdeen gave up more than usual — 1.94 xGA, above the season average. The press was aggressive (PPDA 8.1).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
1.94
0.32
1.56
PPDA
8.1
—
14.3
High regains
5
—
5
Tackles
26
—
16
Interceptions
7
—
9
Opp. box touches
21
17
26
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.32xG
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:LDLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
After scoring first: 10-3-2 (15 games)