Livingston (H) 6–2 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
7–18 shots · 0–5 big chances · 0.32–1.16 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.32 – 1.94
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xG baseline: 1.19 · non-penalty 0.32–1.16
0.05 – 0.11
xG per shot
7 – 18
shots
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
1.23 – 1.97
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
42% – 58%
field tilt
42 – 57
final-third entries
Rangers had the better of the territorial battle.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.94 xGA
chances conceded
0.38 worse than AFC baseline (1.56)
21 (base 25)
Rangers box touches
0.11
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-1-4-1 and stayed in it for the whole match. Rangers started 4-2-3-1, then 5-4-1 on 91’.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.32 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Big chances | 0 | 1.8 | 5 |
| Touches in box | 17 | 21.6 | 21 |
| Possession % | 52 | 48.1 | 48 |
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Rangers.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.32Rangers 1.94GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
13%
84%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Rangers shots
2 goals: 0 open play, 1 corner, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
18 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
7shots · 5 on target · 0.32 xG
By situation
57%
14%
29%
Open play457%
Counter114%
Corner229%
By body part
71%
29%
Right foot571%
Left foot229%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 7Rangers 18
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | SPFL average 116 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 14.4 | below usual · 25 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 25 of 195 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | 9.9 | below usual · 37 of 195 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 195 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
58.0%
33.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
30.4%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
23avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
91.3%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
36avg 50
Directness
59.6%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 10 games | 5-year 195 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 382 | 396.2 | 393 | about normal · 91 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 91 of 195 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 79.3 | 75.5 | 72.3 | above usual · 157 of 195 lower |
| above usual · 157 of 195 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 22 | 30.8 | 25.4 | about normal · 80 of 195 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 39 | 57.5 | 57.9 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 7 of 195 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 7 of 195 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 10.2 | 14.8 | 15.6 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Kilmarnock, Sept 2026 · 16 of 195 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Kilmarnock, Sept 2026 · 16 of 195 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
7 saves
18/23
Pass
100%
Duels
7
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 key pass
30/34
Pass
64%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
J. MilneDEF90'
3 interceptions · 4 tackles · 5 clearances
38/45
Pass
45%
Duels
7
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
10 clearances
45/52
Pass
45%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
E. GyamfiDEF90'
6 tackles
30/33
Pass
53%
Duels
6
Tkl+Int
MID
C
L. ClarksonMID68'
37/45
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
M
N. MilanovićMID68'
17/23
Pass
31%
Duels
-
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID90'
3 dribbles won
18/28
Pass
47%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID79'
1 key pass
43/47
Pass
22%
Duels
1
Key P
K
J. KarlssonMID57'
1 key pass
9/11
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
L
M. LazetićFWD45'
4/7
Pass
17%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
K. NisbetFWD45'
6/8
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
K
T. KeskinenFWD33'
1 key pass
6/8
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
S. ArmstrongMID22'
11/16
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
B
K. BilalovicMID22'
3/5
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
A
A. AouchicheMID11'
1 key pass
6/10
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Key P
Context
How this match compares
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.32xG
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:LDLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Rangers at Home — every meeting on record
2-3-3(8 games)
1.31–1.76avg xG (n=7)
LDWDWLDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.32avg 1.21
worst of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.39, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
xGA
1.94avg 1.55
11th worst of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
52%avg 48%
14th best of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
7.0avg 11.4
10th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
5.0avg 3.4
7th best of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.8
7th worst of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
16.0avg 21.4
12th worst of 38 · Highest 35.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
42.0avg 55.8
8th worst of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
5.0avg 8.2
14th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
6.0avg 4.6
6th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
26.0avg 15.5
2nd best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
7.0avg 8.5
19th worst of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
9.3avg 15.3
best of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 10.0, 15 February 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
5%avg 5%
12th worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg