Aberdeen
2–0
FT · Win
Dundee United
2.17xG
+1.38AFC xGD
xG0.79
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.14 xG per shot to 0.11, and the bigger ones (3–1 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.72
From the full xG (2.17–0.79), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (2.17–0.79). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.17 – 0.79
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.14 – 0.11
xG per shot
15 – 7
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.14 xG per shot to 0.11.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
—
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
55% – 45%
field tilt
53 – 69
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.79 xGA
chances conceded
0.77 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
13 (base 26)
Dundee United box touches
0.11
xG per Dundee United shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.17Dundee United 0.79GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
73%
19%
9%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Dundee United Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
0shots · 0 on target
By situation
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 0Dundee United 7
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
45.1%
54.9%
Own Half
Opp Half
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
85.7%avg 60.4%
GK Total Passes
35avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.1%avg 86.0%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 2.15 | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| Big chances | 3 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Touches in box | 28 | 21.6 | 13 |
| Possession % | 51 | 48.1 | 49 |
Aberdeen were a different side after half time — 1.79 xG to 0.35 before it.
FotMob period stats — same source as the match xG. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Dundee United.
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Dundee United at Home — every meeting on record
3-4-0(7 games)
1.21–0.57avg xG (n=6)
DDWWDWD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.17avg 1.16
4th best of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
0.79avg 1.58
8th best of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
51%avg 48%
16th best of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
15.0avg 11.2
11th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
5.0avg 3.4
7th best of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.7
5th best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
28.0avg 21.4
9th best of 38 · Highest 37.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
53.0avg 55.5
17th worst of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
12.0avg 8.1
7th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
4.0avg 4.7
17th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
19.0avg 15.7
7th best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
9.0avg 8.5
13th best of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLWWD(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match