St. Johnstone
0–0
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
0.64xG
-0.06AFC xGD
xG0.58
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Tight gameMatch in 30 seconds
Standout performer
7.9M. Knoester
M. Knoester ran the show — a 7.9 rating.
Aggressive pressure
10high regains · 6 avg
A ferocious counter-press — 10 ball recoveries in the final third against a season average of 6.
Defence locked down
0.64xGA · 1.64 avg
The back line gave almost nothing away — 0.64 xGA against a season average of 1.64.
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 1 pt · expected 1.58 · -0.58
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?4% luck · mostly down to skill
About 4% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.58St. Johnstone 0.64GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
Chances were finely balanced (0.58 xG to 0.64). Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.58
0.64
1.22
Shots
11
8
12
Shots on target
2
3
4
Big chances
0
1
2
Box touches
23
8
25
xG per shot
0.05
0.08
0.10
Territory & progression
Territory and possession were about typical for Aberdeen. Ball progression was sharp.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
57%
43%
53%
Field tilt
53%
47%
53%
Progressive passes
63
—
52
Final-third entries
76
59
57
xT (threat created)
2.97
—
1.95
Without the ball
A controlled defensive display — 0.64 xGA, below the season average. The press was aggressive (PPDA 8.5).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
0.64
0.58
1.64
PPDA
8.5
—
12.8
High regains
10
—
6
Tackles
23
—
17
Interceptions
14
—
7
Opp. box touches
8
23
24
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
10high regains
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWWLD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
After scoring first: 14-2-2 (18 games)