St Mirren (A) 0–1
Celtic (H) 1–5 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
8–24 shots · 0–4 big chances · 0.57–2.60 NPxG
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How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.57 – 2.60
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.07 – 0.11
xG per shot
8 – 24
shots
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.51 – 4.41
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
48% – 52%
field tilt
35 – 83
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.60 xGA
chances conceded
0.96 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
44 (base 24)
Rangers box touches
0.11
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.57Rangers 2.60GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
4%
11%
85%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Rangers shots
4 goals: 4 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
24 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
8shots · 5 on target
By situation
88%
13%
Open play788%
Free kick / throw113%
By body part
63%
38%
Right foot563%
Left foot338%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 8Rangers 24
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 11 games | 5-year 196 games | SPFL average 132 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8 | 13 | 12.2 | 14.5 | below usual · 37 of 196 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 196 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 8.7 | 8 | 10 | below usual · 54 of 196 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 196 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
52.0%
39.2%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
80.0%avg 60.8%
GK Total Passes
35avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
85.3%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
34avg 50
Directness
58.8%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 11 games | 5-year 196 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 251 | 394.6 | 392.9 | below usual · 20 of 196 lower |
| below usual · 20 of 196 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 72.1 | 75 | 72.3 | about normal · 84 of 196 lower |
| about normal · 84 of 196 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 18 | 30.3 | 25.4 | below usual · 42 of 196 lower |
| below usual · 42 of 196 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 45 | 57.3 | 57.9 | below usual · 26 of 196 lower |
| below usual · 26 of 196 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 17.9 | 14.8 | 15.5 | above usual · 149 of 196 lower |
| above usual · 149 of 196 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
7 saves
17/35
Pass
100%
Duels
7
Saves
DEF
N. DevlinDEF65'
5 tackles
13/18
Pass
60%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
T
K. TobersDEF65'
8 clearances
13/16
Pass
43%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
8 clearances
25/27
Pass
50%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
S
G. ShinnieDEF90'
20/25
Pass
23%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
P
D. PolvaraMID79'
4 tackles
16/19
Pass
64%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
2 key passes
27/35
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID90'
4 shots
6/7
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
3 key passes
22/30
Pass
60%
Duels
3
Key P
O
J. OkkelsMID45'
3/7
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
D
O. DabbaghFWD45'
5/9
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
H
P. H. GueyeFWD45'
4/7
Pass
67%
Duels
2
Shots
K. NisbetFWD45'
1 key pass
7/10
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Shots
J
A. JensenMID25'
8/8
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
J. MilneDEF25'
5/8
Pass
50%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
M
S. MorrisFWD11'
4/4
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Shots
Context
How this match compares
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
10box touches
36th of 38 · among the worst
2high regains
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WWDWL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Rangers — every meeting on record
1-1-9(11 games)
0.78–2.44avg xG (n=9)
LLLLWLLLDLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.57avg 1.24
6th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
2.60avg 1.61
6th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
30%avg 54%
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
8.0avg 12.2
13th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
4.0avg 3.8
11th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.7
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
10.0avg 25.2
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
35.0avg 57.5
4th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
6.0avg 9.2
12th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
2.0avg 6.2
6th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
21.0avg 17.0
8th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 6.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
21.1avg 15.4
6th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
Counter-press rate
8%avg 7%
11th best of 38 · Highest 11%, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 1%, 4 December 2024 (0-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg