Aberdeen
2–2
FT · Draw
Rangers
2.44xG
+1.26AFC xGD
xG1.19
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
Two points dropped on the chances created.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.14 xG per shot to 0.10, and the bigger ones (4–2 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.72
From the full xG (2.44–1.19), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (2.44–1.19). Took 1.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.44 – 1.19
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.14 – 0.10
xG per shot
17 – 12
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.14 xG per shot to 0.10.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
2.06 – 1.53
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
61% – 40%
field tilt
67 – 58
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Rangers's half.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.19 xGA
chances conceded
0.45 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
16 (base 24)
Rangers box touches
0.10
xG per Rangers shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.44Rangers 1.18GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
69%
18%
13%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Rangers Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
12 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
0shots · 0 on target
By situation
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 0Rangers 12
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | SPFL average 66 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 17 | 9.8 | 12.1 | 14.8 | above usual · 150 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 150 of 190 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 12 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 10.2 | above usual · 155 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 155 of 190 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
39.5%
38.5%
22.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
43.5%avg 60.4%
GK Total Passes
23avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
85.6%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
73avg 49
Directness
59.5%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 453 | 376.8 | 392.4 | above usual · 135 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 135 of 190 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 77.3 | 75.4 | 72.2 | about normal · 132 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 132 of 190 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 44 | 27.2 | 25.2 | top 10% in 190 matches · 174 of 190 lower |
| top 10% in 190 matches · 174 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 51 | 53.2 | 57.8 | below usual · 55 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 55 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 11.3 | 14.4 | 15.6 | below usual · 30 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 30 of 190 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Rangers at Home — every meeting on record
2-2-4(8 games)
1.00–1.87avg xG (n=7)
LLWDWLDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.44avg 1.19
2nd best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.18avg 1.65
11th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
52%avg 53%
16th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
17.0avg 11.9
7th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
5.0avg 3.7
8th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.6
best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
27.0avg 24.9
15th best of 38 · Highest 51.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
67.0avg 56.6
8th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
14.0avg 8.9
3rd best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
6.0avg 6.1
16th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
19.0avg 17.1
13th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
5.0avg 6.5
19th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
Counter-press rate
10%avg 7%
2nd best of 38 · Highest 11%, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 1%, 4 December 2024 (0-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4big chances
1st of 38 · season best
15high regains
1st of 38 · season best
2.44xG
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
+1.26xGD
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:LDDWW(last 5)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg
In six seasons
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match on file since 2021-22. Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
15
High regains
highest of 190 · tied with 1
4
Big chances
8th highest of 190 · tied with 16
Detailed stats not available for this match