Hibernian
3–3
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
2.21xG
-0.60AFC xGD
xG1.61
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A draw broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
15–21 shots · 0–2 big chances · 1.61–2.21 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.61 – 2.21
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.11 – 0.11
xG per shot
15 – 21
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.83 – 2.63
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
53% – 47%
field tilt
60 – 48
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.21 xGA
chances conceded
0.57 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
30 (base 24)
Hibernian box touches
0.11
xG per Hibernian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.61Hibernian 2.21GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
26%
22%
53%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
3 goals: 2 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
3 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
21 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
15shots · 6 on target
By situation
87%
Open play1387%
Corner17%
Free kick / throw17%
By body part
67%
27%
Right foot1067%
Left foot427%
Head17%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 15Hibernian 21
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 129 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 129 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 10 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 136 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 136 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
46.6%
34.8%
18.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
88.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
52avg 49
Directness
54.6%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 349 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 67 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 67 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 71.6 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 75 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 75 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 21 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 71 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 71 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 54 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 69 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 69 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 15.5 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 104 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 104 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
16/29
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF83'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 5 tackles
20/33
Pass
75%
Duels
6
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
10 clearances · 7 aerials won
26/34
Pass
53%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
7 clearances
36/44
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
3 key passes
26/31
Pass
55%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
35/43
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID90'
2 key passes
33/46
Pass
78%
Duels
2
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID54'
1 key pass
4/7
Pass
22%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 4 shots
23/29
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
D
DukMID80'
1 assist · 1 key pass
12/18
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD45'
1 key pass
6/8
Pass
67%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
C
L. ClarksonMID45'
14/17
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
M
S. MorrisFWD36'
1 assist · 2 key passes
7/7
Pass
40%
Duels
-
Shots
J. MilneDEF15'
1/4
Pass
75%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
S
E. SoklerFWD10'
1 goal
4/5
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Hibernian — every meeting on record
1-2-7(10 games)
1.17–1.70avg xG (n=9)
DLLWLLLDLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.61avg 1.21
11th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
2.21avg 1.62
8th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
51%avg 53%
15th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
15.0avg 12.0
9th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
6.0avg 3.7
6th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.7
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
30.0avg 24.6
11th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
60.0avg 56.8
16th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
12.0avg 9.0
6th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
6.0avg 6.1
16th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
23.0avg 17.0
3rd best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
9.0avg 6.4
7th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
11.4avg 15.7
14th best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DWWWL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg