St. Mirren
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.56xG
-0.18AFC xGD
xG1.38
Expected points 1.59–1.59
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
16–16 shots · 2–3 big chances · 1.38–1.56 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
1.38 – 1.56
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.09 – 0.10
xG per shot
16 – 16
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
1.25 – 3.06
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
38% – 62%
field tilt
50 – 68
final-third entries
St. Mirren had the better of the territorial battle.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.56 xGA
chances conceded
0.08 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
25 (base 24)
St. Mirren box touches
0.10
xG per St. Mirren shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.38St. Mirren 1.56GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
32%
27%
42%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
St. Mirren Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
16shots · 4 on target
By situation
69%
31%
Open play1169%
Corner531%
By body part
50%
44%
Right foot850%
Left foot744%
Head16%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 16St. Mirren 16
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | above usual · 142 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 142 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 12 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 157 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 157 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
61.7%
28.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
92.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
62avg 49
Directness
59.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 585 | 371.9 | 392 | top 10% in 192 matches · 187 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 187 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 85.1 | 75.7 | 72.2 | top 10% in 192 matches · 189 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 189 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 24 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 95 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 95 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 50 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 50 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 50 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 8.5 | 15 | 15.6 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Livingston, Jan 2026 · 2 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Livingston, Jan 2026 · 2 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
4 saves
32/42
Pass
-
Duels
4
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 key pass
41/50
Pass
42%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
10 clearances · 4 aerials won
62/68
Pass
88%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
9 clearances · 4 aerials won
87/94
Pass
56%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 key pass
52/57
Pass
75%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 key pass · 7 tackles
73/83
Pass
45%
Duels
1
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID69'
1 key pass · 5 clearances · 4 aerials won
60/67
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
M
S. MorrisMID69'
3 dribbles won
12/14
Pass
70%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID45'
2 key passes
14/20
Pass
-
Duels
2
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID85'
1 goal · 3 shots
28/40
Pass
75%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD45'
6/6
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
D
DukFWD45'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass · 4 shots
11/13
Pass
23%
Duels
4
Shots
K. NisbetFWD45'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
8/9
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
P
A. PalaversaMID21'
2 key passes
17/20
Pass
0%
Duels
2
Key P
K
T. KeskinenFWD21'
1 key pass
6/7
Pass
0%
Duels
2
Shots
B
V. BesuijenFWD10'
1 key pass
4/5
Pass
-
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At St. Mirren — every meeting on record
1-2-6(9 games)
0.93–1.44avg xG (n=8)
LWLLDLLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.38avg 1.21
18th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.56avg 1.64
18th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
72%avg 53%
3rd best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
16.0avg 11.9
8th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
4.0avg 3.8
11th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
12th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
23.0avg 24.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
50.0avg 57.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
12.0avg 9.0
6th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 6.2
11th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
14.0avg 17.2
11th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
8.0avg 6.5
10th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
7.5avg 15.8
2nd best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
38%field tilt
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:WDWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
498
Open-play passes
3rd highest of 192 · tied with 1
85.10%
Pass completion
3rd highest of 192
8.55%
Long-ball share
4th lowest of 192
7.55
PPDA
4th lowest of 192
72%
Possession
8th highest of 409 · tied with 1