Heart of Midlothian
1–1
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
1.15xG
-0.54AFC xGD
xG0.62
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A draw broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
8–16 shots · 1–3 big chances · 0.62–1.15 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.62 – 1.15
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.08 – 0.07
xG per shot
8 – 16
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
1.40 – 2.04
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
44% – 56%
field tilt
49 – 71
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.15 xGA
chances conceded
0.49 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
20 (base 24)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.07
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.62Heart of Midlothian 1.15GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
19%
32%
49%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
8shots · 3 on target
By situation
88%
13%
Open play788%
Corner113%
By body part
75%
25%
Right foot675%
Left foot225%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 8Heart of Midlothian 16
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 52 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 52 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
56.3%
30.9%
12.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
88.6%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
38avg 49
Directness
58.5%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 412 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 106 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 106 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 75.5 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 115 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 115 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 21 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 71 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 71 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 47 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 33 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 33 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 11.4 | 15 | 15.6 | below usual · 31 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 31 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK45'
17/22
Pass
-
Duels
1
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
8 clearances · 4 aerials won
8/18
Pass
45%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
6 clearances · 4 aerials won
40/51
Pass
57%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
3 interceptions · 5 clearances
51/62
Pass
71%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
M
J. McGarryDEF59'
23/27
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
P
A. PalaversaMID59'
21/27
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID90'
2 key passes
47/54
Pass
36%
Duels
2
Key P
M
S. MorrisMID80'
1 assist · 1 key pass · 6 dribbles won
10/15
Pass
77%
Duels
1
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 3 shots
26/35
Pass
43%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
20/31
Pass
47%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD75'
7/12
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
D
R. DoohanGK45'
11/17
Pass
-
Duels
1
Saves
S
G. ShinnieMID31'
17/20
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
J. MilneDEF31'
15/17
Pass
60%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
D
DukFWD15'
1/3
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Shots
K
T. KeskinenFWD10'
1 key pass
3/4
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
How this match compares to the season so far
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.62avg 1.23
9th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.15avg 1.65
10th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
46%avg 54%
8th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
8.0avg 12.2
13th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.7
19th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
19.0avg 24.9
10th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
49.0avg 57.1
11th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
6.0avg 9.2
12th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
6.0avg 6.1
16th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
17.0avg 17.1
15th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
7.0avg 6.5
15th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
13.6avg 15.6
19th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWLD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg