AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 25 Jan 2025 · Pittodrie
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Aberdeen
Aberdeen
0–3
FT · Loss
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1.41xG
-0.37AFC xGD
xG1.78
Expected points 0.72–1.59
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

15–6 shots · 3–2 big chances · 1.41–1.78 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.41 – 1.78
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.09 – 0.30
xG per shot
15 – 6
shots
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.90 – 1.42
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
50% – 50%
field tilt
67 – 62
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.78 xGA
chances conceded
0.14 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
10 (base 24)
St. Mirren box touches
0.30
xG per St. Mirren shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 1.41St. Mirren 1.78GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
25%
27%
48%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.01.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Olusanya0-2 · Mandron0-3 · Mandron
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots

St. Mirren Shot Map

3 goals: 3 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
6 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

15shots · 8 on target
By situation
67%
13%
13%
Open play1067%
Counter17%
Corner213%
Free kick / throw213%
By body part
47%
27%
27%
Right foot747%
Left foot427%
Head427%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 15St. Mirren 6
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots159.912.114.4
about normal · 129 of 192 lower
Shots in the box135.97.99.8
above usual · 167 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
50.3%
30.9%
18.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
89.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
65avg 49
Directness
57.6%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes572371.9392
top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %81.175.772.2
top 10% in 192 matches · 172 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third3526.325.2
above usual · 160 of 192 lower
Long balls7954.657.8
top 10% in 192 matches · 177 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes13.81515.6
about normal · 74 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
D
R. DoohanGK90'
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
T
K. TobersDEF90'
8 clearances · 5 aerials won
R
S. RubežićDEF40'
5 clearances · 6 aerials won
J
A. JensenDEF90'
2 key passes
MID
N
S. NilsenMID45'
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 key pass
K
T. KeskinenMID90'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
C
L. ClarksonMID55'
2 key passes
O
J. OkkelsMID69'
2 key passes · 3 dribbles won
FWD
H
P. H. GueyeFWD70'
6 shots · 5 aerials won
Substitutes
D
A. DorringtonDEF50'
P
A. PalaversaMID45'
K. NisbetFWD35'
1 key pass · 3 shots
M
S. MorrisFWD21'
D
DukFWD20'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

Vs St. Mirren at Home — every meeting on record
4-3-3(10 games)
1.85–1.39avg xG (n=9)
LDWLWLWDWD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.41avg 1.21
16th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.78avg 1.64
14th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
74%avg 53%
best of 38 · Highest 73%, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
15.0avg 12.0
9th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
7.0avg 3.7
4th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.6
7th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
37.0avg 24.5
3rd best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
67.0avg 56.6
8th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
10.0avg 9.1
14th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
6.0avg 6.1
16th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
15.0avg 17.2
14th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 6.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
7.6avg 15.8
3rd best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

37box touches
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
2high regains
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLDL(last 5)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
74%
Possession
3rd highest of 409 · tied with 2
7.60
PPDA
5th lowest of 192
464
Open-play passes
8th highest of 192
37
Touches in the box
10th highest of 192