Aberdeen
0–0
FT · Draw
Heart of Midlothian
1.09xG
-0.45AFC xGD
xG1.54
Expected points 0.72–1.59
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A draw broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
8–9 shots · 2–2 big chances · 1.09–0.76 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.09 – 1.54
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.22 · non-penalty 1.09–0.76
0.14 – 0.17
xG per shot
8 – 9
shots
Heart of Midlothian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
1.30 – 1.47
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
41% – 59%
field tilt
53 – 56
final-third entries
Heart of Midlothian had the better of the territorial battle.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.54 xGA
chances conceded
0.10 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
18 (base 24)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.17
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.10Heart of Midlothian 1.54GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
22%
30%
48%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
8shots · 1 on target
By situation
75%
25%
Open play675%
Corner225%
By body part
38%
63%
Right foot338%
Left foot563%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 8Heart of Midlothian 9
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 37 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 7 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | about normal · 76 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 76 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
58.8%
31.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
86.7%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
31avg 49
Directness
55.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 463 | 371.9 | 392 | above usual · 141 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 141 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 74.5 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 105 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 105 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 22 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 64 | 54.6 | 57.8 | above usual · 135 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 135 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.8 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 74 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 74 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
D
R. DoohanGK90'
2 saves
22/25
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
5 clearances · 4 aerials won
26/40
Pass
62%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
T
K. TobersDEF66'
45/50
Pass
33%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
N
S. NilsenDEF90'
65/78
Pass
60%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M
J. McGarryDEF90'
6 tackles · 9 clearances
23/37
Pass
69%
Duels
7
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
6 tackles
45/59
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
P
A. PalaversaMID90'
1 key pass · 8 tackles
58/74
Pass
47%
Duels
1
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID90'
8/14
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID66'
16/28
Pass
20%
Duels
-
Key P
O
J. OkkelsMID79'
1 key pass
22/24
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD56'
2 big chances created · 2 key passes · 4 aerials won
7/12
Pass
83%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
D
DukFWD34'
2/3
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Shots
M
J. McGrathMID24'
1 key pass
3/8
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID24'
6 clearances
18/21
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
M
S. MorrisFWD11'
1/1
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Heart of Midlothian at Home — every meeting on record
1-0-0(1 game)
2.66–1.83avg xG
W
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.10avg 1.22
19th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.54avg 1.64
19th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
49%avg 54%
14th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
8.0avg 12.2
13th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
1.0avg 3.8
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
12th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
20.0avg 24.9
12th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
53.0avg 57.0
16th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
5.0avg 9.2
5th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
4.0avg 6.1
13th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
29.0avg 16.8
best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 7 December 2024 (1-1) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 6.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
18.1avg 15.5
10th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
1shots on target
36th of 38 · among the worst
41%field tilt
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg