Aberdeen
2–1
FT · Win
Motherwell
1.85xG
+0.18AFC xGD
xG1.67
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Tight gameMatch in 30 seconds
Aggressive press
9.0PPDA · 12.8 avg
Aberdeen pressed hard: 9.0 passes allowed per defensive action versus a 12.8 average (lower is more aggressive).
Result verdict
Fortunate
Took 3 pts · expected 1.58 · +1.42
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?9% luck · mostly down to skill
About 9% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck, a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample; finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 1.85Motherwell 1.67GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
Open-play chances were finely balanced (1.85 xG to 1.67).
MetricAFCOppseason avg
xG
quality of chances created
1.85✓
1.67
1.22
Shots
total attempts
11
13
12
Shots on target
attempts hitting the target
4
4
4
Big chances
clear, should-score chances
4✓
2
2
Box touches
touches in the opponent's box
24✓
23
25
xG per shot
average chance quality per shot
0.17✓
0.13
0.10
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half.
MetricAFCOppseason avg
Possession
share of the ball
59%✓
41%
53%
Field tilt
share of play in the opponent's half
—
–
—
Progressive passes
passes moving the ball upfield
44
–
52
Final-third entries
moves into the final third
60✓
58
57
xT (threat created)
danger added by passing moves
1.86
–
1.95
Without the ball
Aberdeen conceded a typical amount of danger (1.67 xGA). The press was aggressive (PPDA 9.0).
MetricAFCOppseason avg
xGA
quality of chances conceded — lower is better
1.67✓
1.85
1.64
PPDA
how hard Aberdeen pressed — lower is harder
9.0
–
12.8
High regains
balls won high up the pitch
5
–
6
Tackles
tackles made
17
–
17
Interceptions
opponent passes cut out
8
–
7
Opp. box touches
opponent touches in our box — lower is better
23✓
24
24
Green tick = the side on top for that metric (higher or lower as appropriate). The last column is Aberdeen’s average for reference — this season once enough games are played, otherwise last season. Dashes are Aberdeen-only measures.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4big chances
1st of 38 · season best
Form:WWWW(last 4)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match