Aberdeen
2–1
FT · Win
Rangers
2.78xG
+0.86AFC xGD
xG1.92
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
20–17 shots · 4–2 big chances · 1.99–1.92 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
2.78 – 1.92
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xG baseline: 1.22 · non-penalty 1.99–1.92
0.14 – 0.11
xG per shot
20 – 17
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.14 xG per shot to 0.11.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.78 – 2.27
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
58% – 42%
field tilt
46 – 51
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Rangers's half.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.92 xGA
chances conceded
0.28 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
24 (base 24)
Rangers box touches
0.11
xG per Rangers shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.78Rangers 1.92GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
59%
20%
21%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
20 shots
Rangers Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
17 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
20shots · 8 on target
By situation
50%
15%
30%
Open play1050%
Corner315%
Free kick / throw630%
Penalty15%
By body part
60%
30%
10%
Right foot1260%
Left foot630%
Head210%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 20Rangers 17
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 20 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | above usual · 171 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 171 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 14 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | top 10% in 192 matches · 176 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 176 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
42.0%
31.7%
26.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
79.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
37avg 49
Directness
64.9%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 229 | 371.9 | 392 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 9 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 9 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 66.4 | 75.7 | 72.2 | below usual · 39 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 39 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 19 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 49 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 49 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 40 | 54.6 | 57.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 10 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 10 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 17.5 | 15 | 15.6 | above usual · 140 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 140 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
3 saves
13/26
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 goal · 3 shots
8/17
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
1 key pass · 9 clearances
14/19
Pass
67%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
6 clearances
19/27
Pass
60%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
2 key passes
21/27
Pass
83%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
6 tackles
25/27
Pass
59%
Duels
-
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID66'
1 key pass
19/24
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID66'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
4/7
Pass
29%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID81'
3 key passes · 5 shots
16/19
Pass
33%
Duels
3
Key P
D
DukMID55'
1 key pass
4/8
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD67'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
7/12
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
M
S. MorrisFWD35'
1 goal · 1 key pass
4/8
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Shots
P
A. PalaversaMID24'
4 aerials won
5/7
Pass
64%
Duels
-
Key P
B
V. BesuijenFWD24'
3/4
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
A
P. AmbroseFWD23'
4 aerials won
3/8
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
C
L. ClarksonMID9'
2/5
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Rangers at Home — every meeting on record
1-3-4(8 games)
0.95–1.77avg xG (n=7)
LLDDWLDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.78avg 1.18
best of 38 · Highest 2.44, 13 April 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.92avg 1.63
11th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
37%avg 54%
6th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
20.0avg 11.8
2nd best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
7.0avg 3.7
4th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.6
best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
31.0avg 24.6
9th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
46.0avg 57.2
9th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
11.0avg 9.0
10th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
4.0avg 6.1
13th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
19.0avg 17.1
13th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
5.0avg 6.5
19th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
14.6avg 15.6
16th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
2.78xG
1st of 38 · season best
4big chances
1st of 38 · season best
20shots
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:WWWDW(last 5)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16