AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sun, 29 Dec 2024 · Away
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Dundee United
Dundee United
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2.29xG
-1.38AFC xGD
xG0.91
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat that matched the balance of chances.

9–19 shots · 0–4 big chances · 0.91–2.29 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.91 – 2.29
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.10 – 0.12
xG per shot
9 – 19
shots
Dundee United created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.77 – 1.67
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
49% – 52%
field tilt
70 – 53
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.29 xGA
chances conceded
0.65 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
23 (base 24)
Dundee United box touches
0.12
xG per Dundee United shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.91Dundee United 2.29GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
10%
18%
72%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Holt
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots

Dundee United Shot Map

1 goal: 0 open play, 1 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
19 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

9shots · 2 on target
By situation
78%
11%
11%
Open play778%
Counter111%
Free kick / throw111%
By body part
56%
22%
22%
Right foot556%
Left foot222%
Head222%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Dundee United 19
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots99.912.114.4
below usual · 52 of 192 lower
Shots in the box95.97.99.8
about normal · 122 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
51.5%
31.1%
17.4%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
90.7%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
71avg 49
Directness
58.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes482371.9392
above usual · 154 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %79.375.772.2
above usual · 154 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third4026.325.2
above usual · 170 of 192 lower
Long balls5954.657.8
about normal · 103 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes12.21515.6
below usual · 44 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
5 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
5 clearances
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
9 clearances · 4 aerials won
G. MolloyDEF78'
12 clearances
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 key pass · 5 clearances
MID
P
A. PalaversaMID90'
N
S. NilsenMID90'
K
T. KeskinenMID61'
C
L. ClarksonMID89'
2 key passes
M
J. McGrathMID89'
2 key passes · 5 clearances
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD60'
3 shots
Substitutes
K. NisbetFWD30'
1 key pass
D
DukFWD29'
1 key pass
M
A. MacDonaldDEF12'
M
S. MorrisFWD1'
P
D. PolvaraMID1'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Dundee United — every meeting on record
1-1-5(7 games)
1.14–1.52avg xG (n=6)
DLLWLLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.91avg 1.23
16th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
2.29avg 1.62
7th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
60%avg 53%
13th best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
9.0avg 12.1
15th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.8
11th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.7
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
26.0avg 24.8
17th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
70.0avg 56.5
5th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
7.0avg 9.1
16th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
1.0avg 6.2
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 5 April 2025 (1-0)
Tackles
13.0avg 17.2
9th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
3.0avg 6.6
7th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
11.1avg 15.7
11th best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

10high regains
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:DLDLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
10
High regains
9th highest of 192 · tied with 8