Celtic
5–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.72xG
-1.87AFC xGD
xG0.85
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
8–16 shots · 4–4 big chances · 0.85–2.72 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.85 – 2.72
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.11 – 0.17
xG per shot
8 – 16
shots
Celtic created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.31 – 2.40
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
48% – 52%
field tilt
35 – 54
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.72 xGA
chances conceded
1.08 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
22 (base 24)
Celtic box touches
0.17
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.85Celtic 2.72GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
4%
12%
84%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Celtic Shot Map
5 goals: 5 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
8shots · 1 on target
By situation
75%
25%
Open play675%
Counter225%
By body part
100%
Right foot8100%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 8Celtic 16
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 37 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 3 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Kilmarnock, Oct 2025 · 10 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Kilmarnock, Oct 2025 · 10 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
51.6%
31.1%
17.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
29avg 49
Directness
49.8%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 328 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 55 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 55 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 74.7 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 107 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 107 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 16 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 32 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 32 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 46 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 29 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 29 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 80 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
D
R. DoohanGK90'
2 saves
9/27
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
J
A. JensenDEF90'
4 tackles
22/31
Pass
56%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
T
K. TobersDEF62'
27/29
Pass
-
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF90'
36/46
Pass
100%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
19/25
Pass
36%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
MID
N
S. NilsenMID71'
39/44
Pass
40%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
38/46
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID90'
1 key pass
16/19
Pass
57%
Duels
1
Key P
K. NisbetMID45'
1 key pass
9/12
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Key P
O
J. OkkelsMID45'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
8/13
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Key P
FWD
D
O. DabbaghFWD80'
10/13
Pass
18%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
M
S. MorrisFWD45'
1 goal
3/7
Pass
0%
Duels
2
Shots
H
P. H. GueyeFWD45'
1 assist · 1 key pass
2/2
Pass
20%
Duels
-
Shots
D
A. DorringtonDEF28'
9/11
Pass
0%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
C
L. ClarksonMID19'
6/11
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
B
F. BoydMID10'
3/4
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Celtic — every meeting on record
0-1-9(10 games)
0.60–3.00avg xG (n=7)
LLDLLLLLLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.85avg 1.23
13th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
2.72avg 1.61
5th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
31%avg 54%
5th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
8.0avg 12.2
13th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
1.0avg 3.8
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.6
best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
8.0avg 25.2
worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 10.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Final third entries
35.0avg 57.5
4th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
6.0avg 9.2
12th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 6.2
11th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
17.0avg 17.1
15th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 6.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
27.6avg 15.2
4th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4big chances
1st of 38 · season best
8box touches
38th of 38 · season worst
1shots on target
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16