Dundee FC
1–2
FT · Win
Aberdeen
1.81xG
0.00AFC xGD
xG1.80
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Tight gameMatch in 30 seconds
Standout performer
8.0A. Palaversa
A. Palaversa ran the show — a 8.0 rating.
Set-piece threat
1set-piece goal
Dead balls did damage — 1 goal from set pieces (1.45 set-piece xG).
Result verdict
Fortunate
Took 3 pts · expected 1.58 · +1.42
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?44% luck · part luck, part skill
About 44% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 1.80Dundee FC 1.81GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
Chances were finely balanced (1.80 xG to 1.81). Output was above Aberdeen's season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
1.80
1.81
1.22
Shots
13
21
12
Shots on target
8
4
4
Big chances
2
1
2
Box touches
22
41
25
xG per shot
0.14
0.09
0.10
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
49%
51%
53%
Field tilt
68%
32%
53%
Progressive passes
45
—
52
Final-third entries
64
84
57
xT (threat created)
1.53
—
1.95
Without the ball
Aberdeen conceded a typical amount of danger (1.81 xGA). The press was aggressive (PPDA 9.5).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
1.81
1.80
1.64
PPDA
9.5
—
12.8
High regains
8
—
6
Tackles
22
—
17
Interceptions
6
—
7
Opp. box touches
41
22
24
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
8shots on target
1st of 38 · season best
68%field tilt
1st of 38 · season best
Form:LDLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
After scoring first: 14-2-2 (18 games)