Aberdeen
3–1
FT · Win
St. Mirren
1.60xG
+0.30AFC xGD
xG1.30
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
11–10 shots · 3–2 big chances · 1.60–1.30 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.60 – 1.30
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.15 – 0.13
xG per shot
11 – 10
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.34 – 2.47
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
57% – 43%
field tilt
53 – 60
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.30 xGA
chances conceded
0.34 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
18 (base 24)
St. Mirren box touches
0.13
xG per St. Mirren shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.60St. Mirren 1.30GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
41%
36%
23%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
3 goals: 2 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
St. Mirren Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
11shots · 3 on target
By situation
73%
9%
18%
Open play873%
Corner19%
Free kick / throw218%
By body part
55%
18%
27%
Right foot655%
Left foot218%
Head327%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11St. Mirren 10
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 80 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 10 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 136 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 136 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
42.6%
32.2%
25.2%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
85.2%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
45avg 49
Directness
60.7%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 337 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 62 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 62 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 71.8 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 21 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 71 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 71 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 48 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 43 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 43 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14.2 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 82 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 82 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
4 saves
15/25
Pass
-
Duels
4
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
20/33
Pass
58%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
8 clearances
32/40
Pass
63%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
6 clearances
28/35
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 key pass · 3 shots
24/37
Pass
14%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
N
S. NilsenMID89'
41/53
Pass
22%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 3 key passes
33/41
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Key P
M
S. MorrisMID67'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
16/16
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Key P
H
P. H. GueyeMID67'
1 goal · 3 shots
10/12
Pass
36%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 goal · 1 assist · 1 big chance created
17/27
Pass
38%
Duels
5
Key P
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD89'
16/20
Pass
25%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
A
P. AmbroseFWD23'
2/4
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
B
V. BesuijenFWD23'
1 goal
4/6
Pass
-
Duels
1
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD1'
0/0
Pass
-
Duels
-
Shots
J
R. JensenDEF1'
0/0
Pass
0%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs St. Mirren at Home — every meeting on record
3-3-4(10 games)
1.83–1.44avg xG (n=9)
LDLLWLWDWD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.60avg 1.21
12th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.30avg 1.65
15th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
48%avg 54%
11th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
11.0avg 12.1
19th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.6
7th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
28.0avg 24.7
14th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
53.0avg 57.0
16th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
10.0avg 9.1
14th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
6.0avg 6.1
16th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
12.0avg 17.3
6th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 6.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
15.5avg 15.6
12th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:W(last 1)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg