AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sun, 5 Jan 2025 · Away
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Motherwell
Motherwell
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1.36xG
-0.47AFC xGD
xG0.89
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

12–11 shots · 2–2 big chances · 0.89–1.36 NPxG

Watch Highlights

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The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.89 – 1.36
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Motherwell
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.07 – 0.12
xG per shot
12 – 11
shots
Motherwell created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.34 – 1.68
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Motherwell
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
49% – 51%
field tilt
58 – 65
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.36 xGA
chances conceded
0.28 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
28 (base 24)
Motherwell box touches
0.12
xG per Motherwell shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.89Motherwell 1.36GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
22%
29%
49%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.01.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Wilson0-2 · Maswanhise
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
12 shots

Motherwell Shot Map

2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

12shots · 3 on target
By situation
58%
17%
25%
Open play758%
Counter217%
Corner325%
By body part
67%
17%
17%
Right foot867%
Left foot217%
Head217%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 12Motherwell 11
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots129.912.114.4
about normal · 102 of 192 lower
Shots in the box55.97.99.8
below usual · 37 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
50.8%
37.1%
12.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
92.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
58avg 49
Directness
57.9%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes515371.9392
above usual · 168 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %75.575.772.2
about normal · 115 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third2526.325.2
about normal · 103 of 192 lower
Long balls5954.657.8
about normal · 103 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes11.51515.6
below usual · 32 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
D
R. DoohanGK90'
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
R
S. RubežićDEF43'
M
A. MacDonaldDEF45'
4 aerials won
M
J. MackenzieDEF72'
1 key pass
MID
P
A. PalaversaMID80'
1 big chance created · 3 key passes · 5 tackles
N
S. NilsenMID90'
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 key pass · 5 tackles
FWD
K
T. KeskinenFWD72'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
K. NisbetFWD45'
D
DukFWD90'
2 key passes · 4 dribbles won
Substitutes
P
D. PolvaraMID45'
5 clearances · 5 aerials won
C
L. ClarksonMID45'
M
S. MorrisFWD18'
1 key pass
M
J. McGarryDEF18'
A
P. AmbroseFWD10'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Motherwell — every meeting on record
4-2-3(9 games)
1.23–1.54avg xG (n=8)
WLLWWWDLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.89avg 1.23
15th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.36avg 1.65
17th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
60%avg 53%
13th best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
12.0avg 12.1
15th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.8
11th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
12th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
28.0avg 24.7
14th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
58.0avg 56.9
19th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
10.0avg 9.1
14th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
8.0avg 6.0
8th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
17.0avg 17.1
15th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
7.0avg 6.5
15th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
15.3avg 15.6
13th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg