Rangers
3–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
3.34xG
-3.06AFC xGD
xG0.28
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatMatch in 30 seconds
Second best on chances
0.28–3.34xG for–against
The opposition created more — 3.34 xG against Aberdeen's 0.28.
Standout performer
8.2R. Doohan
R. Doohan ran the show — a 8.2 rating.
Goalkeeper stood up
1.05goals prevented
The keeper made the difference — 4.05 xG on target faced, only 3 conceded.
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 0 pts · expected 0.20 · -0.20
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?9% luck · mostly down to skill
About 9% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.29Rangers 3.34GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
6 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
The opponent created more — 3.34 xG to Aberdeen's 0.28. Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.28
3.34
1.22
Shots
6
29
12
Shots on target
2
11
4
Big chances
0
8
2
Box touches
11
42
25
xG per shot
0.05
0.12
0.10
Territory & progression
Aberdeen ceded territory and saw less of the ball than they normally do.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
41%
59%
53%
Field tilt
42%
58%
53%
Progressive passes
33
—
52
Final-third entries
45
75
57
xT (threat created)
0.97
—
1.95
Without the ball
Aberdeen gave up more than usual — 3.34 xGA, above the season average.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
3.34
0.28
1.64
PPDA
23.5
—
12.8
High regains
4
—
6
Tackles
11
—
17
Interceptions
4
—
7
Opp. box touches
42
11
24
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.29xG
38th of 38 · season worst
6shots
38th of 38 · season worst
-3.05xGD
37th of 38 · among the worst
3.34xGA
36th of 38 · among the worst
11box touches
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLLD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
After scoring first: 14-2-2 (18 games)