Aberdeen
1–0
FT · Win
Dundee United
1.41xG
+1.04AFC xGD
xG0.38
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win that matched the balance of chances.
12–8 shots · 2–0 big chances · 1.41–0.38 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
1.41 – 0.38
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.12 – 0.05
xG per shot
12 – 8
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.12 xG per shot to 0.05.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.95 – 2.35
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
59% – 41%
field tilt
86 – 47
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Dundee United's half.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.38 xGA
chances conceded
1.26 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
21 (base 24)
Dundee United box touches
0.05
xG per Dundee United shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.41Dundee United 0.38GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
68%
24%
8%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
12 shots
Dundee United Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
12shots · 5 on target
By situation
92%
Open play1192%
Corner18%
By body part
67%
17%
17%
Right foot867%
Left foot217%
Head217%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 12Dundee United 8
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 102 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 102 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 8 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | about normal · 100 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 100 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
41.0%
37.4%
21.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
94.4%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
74avg 49
Directness
58.3%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 579 | 371.9 | 392 | top 10% in 192 matches · 185 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 185 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 83.2 | 75.7 | 72.2 | top 10% in 192 matches · 184 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 184 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 49 | 26.3 | 25.2 | top 10% in 192 matches · 187 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 187 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 52 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 62 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 62 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 9 | 15 | 15.6 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Livingston, Jan 2026 · 5 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Livingston, Jan 2026 · 5 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
25/32
Pass
100%
Duels
0
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 key pass
34/43
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
6 clearances
64/72
Pass
50%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
7 clearances · 6 aerials won
82/91
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
34/41
Pass
56%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
MID
P
A. PalaversaMID65'
64/74
Pass
38%
Duels
-
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID90'
2 key passes · 4 tackles · 5 aerials won
91/102
Pass
71%
Duels
2
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID45'
4/5
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID82'
1 key pass · 3 shots
35/42
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Key P
D
DukMID82'
10/11
Pass
31%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD74'
2 key passes
7/10
Pass
38%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
M
S. MorrisFWD45'
1 key pass
15/18
Pass
88%
Duels
-
Shots
S
G. ShinnieMID25'
23/24
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID16'
8/9
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
A
P. AmbroseFWD8'
1 goal
2/3
Pass
0%
Duels
2
Shots
B
V. BesuijenFWD8'
3/4
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Dundee United at Home — every meeting on record
3-4-0(7 games)
1.33–0.64avg xG (n=6)
WDDWDWD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.41avg 1.21
16th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
0.38avg 1.67
best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.43, 25 August 2024 (2-0)
Possession
70%avg 53%
4th best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
12.0avg 12.1
15th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
5.0avg 3.7
8th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
12th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
30.0avg 24.6
11th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
86.0avg 56.1
best of 38 · Highest 83.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
7.0avg 9.1
16th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
8.0avg 6.0
8th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
13.0avg 17.2
9th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 6.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
11.6avg 15.7
15th best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.38xGA
1st of 38 · season best
Form:WWWWD(last 5)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 192 · tied with 27
250
Passes in the opposition half
4th highest of 192 · tied with 1
49
Final-third entries
5th highest of 192
482
Open-play passes
6th highest of 192
8.98%
Long-ball share
6th lowest of 192
83.20%
Pass completion
8th highest of 192