Ross County
0–1
FT · Win
Aberdeen
1.05xG
-0.70AFC xGD
xG0.35
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
9–8 shots · 1–1 big chances · 0.35–0.26 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.35 – 1.05
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Ross County
AFC xG baseline: 1.22 · non-penalty 0.35–0.26
0.04 – 0.13
xG per shot
9 – 8
shots
Ross County created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.38 – 1.83
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Ross County
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
56% – 44%
field tilt
61 – 69
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.05 xGA
chances conceded
0.59 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
12 (base 24)
Ross County box touches
0.13
xG per Ross County shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.35Ross County 1.05GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
8%
29%
63%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots
Ross County Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
9shots · 4 on target
By situation
67%
11%
22%
Open play667%
Corner111%
Free kick / throw222%
By body part
56%
11%
33%
Right foot556%
Left foot111%
Head333%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Ross County 8
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 52 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 52 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 37 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
43.9%
38.7%
17.4%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
85.2%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
64avg 49
Directness
57.0%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 493 | 371.9 | 392 | above usual · 160 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 160 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 77.3 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 133 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 133 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 33 | 26.3 | 25.2 | above usual · 151 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 151 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 72 | 54.6 | 57.8 | above usual · 166 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 166 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14.6 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 88 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 88 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
4 saves
19/24
Pass
100%
Duels
4
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF89'
27/36
Pass
27%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
1 key pass · 5 aerials won
37/54
Pass
43%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
5 interceptions · 8 clearances
61/67
Pass
50%
Duels
7
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
50/61
Pass
50%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
3 interceptions · 5 tackles
55/62
Pass
69%
Duels
-
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID90'
1 key pass
63/74
Pass
38%
Duels
1
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID72'
3 shots · 3 dribbles won
13/19
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
H
P. H. GueyeMID72'
4 aerials won
15/23
Pass
47%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID35'
1 key pass
14/17
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD45'
1 key pass
7/10
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
K. NisbetFWD55'
1 goal · 3 shots · 6 aerials won
12/18
Pass
55%
Duels
3
Shots
B
V. BesuijenFWD45'
2 key passes
15/22
Pass
38%
Duels
2
Shots
M
S. MorrisFWD18'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
5/5
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
A
P. AmbroseFWD18'
1/2
Pass
20%
Duels
-
Shots
J. MilneDEF1'
0/0
Pass
-
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Ross County — every meeting on record
3-3-1(7 games)
1.12–1.04avg xG (n=6)
WDWWDDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.35avg 1.24
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.05avg 1.66
9th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
65%avg 53%
6th best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
9.0avg 12.1
15th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.7
19th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
13.0avg 25.1
6th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
61.0avg 56.8
15th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
7.0avg 9.1
16th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
12.0avg 5.9
3rd best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
14.0avg 17.2
11th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
15.0avg 6.3
best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
10.3avg 15.7
7th best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.35xG
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WWW(last 3)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0.039
xG per shot
6th lowest of 191 · tied with 1
12
Corners
9th highest of 409 · tied with 9