Dundee FC
1–2
FT · Win
Aberdeen
1.50xG
-0.88AFC xGD
xG0.62
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Tight gameMatch in 30 seconds
Out-shot
8–14shots for–against
The opposition had the better of the play by volume: 14 shots to Aberdeen's 8.
Goalkeeper stood up
1.22goals prevented
The keeper made the difference: 2.22 xG on target faced, only 1 conceded.
Clinical finishing
2 from 0.62goals from xG
The finishing ran hot: 2 scored from 0.62 xG worth of chances.
Result verdict
Fortunate
Took 3 pts · expected 1.58 (excl. pen) · +1.42
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?41% luck · part luck, part skill
About 41% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck, a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample; finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. A penalty was left out of the expected-points read, since winning a penalty is not open-play merit.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.62Dundee FC 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
Open-play chances were finely balanced (0.62 xG to 0.71). The opponent had more of the ball in front of goal (14 shots to 8).
AFC OppAvg
xG0.621.50· 1.22
Shots814· 12
Shots on target26· 4
Big chances11· 2
Box touches1933· 25
xG per shot0.080.11· 0.10
Territory & progression
Aberdeen ceded territory and saw less of the ball than they normally do.
AFC OppAvg
Possession47%53%· 53%
Field tilt—
Progressive passes49· 52
Final-third entries4685· 57
xT (threat created)1.60· 1.95
Without the ball
Aberdeen conceded a typical amount of danger (1.50 xGA).
AFC OppAvg
xGA1.500.62· 1.64
PPDA10.6· 12.8
High regains6· 6
Tackles21· 17
Interceptions10· 7
Opp. box touches3319· 24
Bars compare Aberdeen (red) with the opponent (grey); the third figure is Aberdeen’s season average. Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats that average in the direction that helps, so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match