Dundee FC
1–2
FT · Win
Aberdeen
1.50xG
-0.88AFC xGD
xG0.62
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
8–14 shots · 1–1 big chances · 0.62–0.71 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
0.62 – 1.50
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xG baseline: 1.22 · non-penalty 0.62–0.71
0.08 – 0.11
xG per shot
8 – 14
shots
Dundee FC created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.60 – 3.92
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
53% – 47%
field tilt
46 – 85
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.50 xGA
chances conceded
0.14 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
32 (base 24)
Dundee FC box touches
0.11
xG per Dundee FC shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.62Dundee FC 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
10%
25%
64%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Dundee FC Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
8shots · 3 on target
By situation
63%
13%
25%
Open play563%
Counter113%
Corner225%
By body part
75%
13%
13%
Right foot675%
Left foot113%
Head113%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 8Dundee FC 14
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 37 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
46.7%
28.2%
25.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
82.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
49avg 49
Directness
56.3%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 385 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 98 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 98 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 78.4 | 75.7 | 72.2 | above usual · 141 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 141 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 26 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 108 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 108 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 51 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 55 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 55 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.2 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 58 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 58 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
5 saves
21/36
Pass
100%
Duels
5
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
8 clearances · 4 aerials won
30/37
Pass
50%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
6 clearances
24/36
Pass
71%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
3 interceptions · 5 clearances
33/37
Pass
60%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 key pass
27/33
Pass
20%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 assist · 1 key pass · 4 tackles
45/51
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID90'
1 key pass
47/54
Pass
42%
Duels
1
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID87'
1 goal · 1 assist · 1 big chance created
17/20
Pass
36%
Duels
1
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID87'
1 key pass
20/28
Pass
83%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID66'
19/24
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD82'
1 goal · 3 shots
11/18
Pass
7%
Duels
3
Shots
Substitutes
P
A. PalaversaMID24'
14/15
Pass
80%
Duels
-
Key P
A
P. AmbroseFWD8'
1/3
Pass
30%
Duels
-
Shots
M
S. MorrisFWD3'
1 key pass
1/1
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Shots
B
V. BesuijenFWD3'
1/1
Pass
-
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Dundee FC — every meeting on record
2-1-4(7 games)
1.08–1.47avg xG
LLWWLDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.62avg 1.23
9th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.50avg 1.64
19th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
47%avg 54%
10th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
8.0avg 12.2
13th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.8
11th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.7
19th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
19.0avg 24.9
10th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
46.0avg 57.2
9th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
6.0avg 9.2
12th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 6.2
11th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
21.0avg 17.0
8th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
10.0avg 6.4
5th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
20.9avg 15.4
7th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg