Hibernian
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.60xG
-1.12AFC xGD
xG0.48
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
Aberdeen generated little despite having most of the ball.
7–8 shots · 0–3 big chances · 0.48–1.60 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.48 – 1.60
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.07 – 0.20
xG per shot
7 – 8
shots
Hibernian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.82 – 1.74
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
52% – 48%
field tilt
67 – 59
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.60 xGA
chances conceded
0.04 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
12 (base 24)
Hibernian box touches
0.20
xG per Hibernian shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.48Hibernian 1.60GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
8%
22%
70%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
7shots · 3 on target
By situation
57%
43%
Open play457%
Corner343%
By body part
43%
14%
43%
Right foot343%
Left foot114%
Head343%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 7Hibernian 8
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 25 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 25 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 37 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
48.0%
38.7%
13.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
94.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
77avg 49
Directness
54.8%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 576 | 371.9 | 392 | top 10% in 192 matches · 184 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 184 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 79 | 75.7 | 72.2 | above usual · 151 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 151 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 37 | 26.3 | 25.2 | above usual · 167 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 167 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 66 | 54.6 | 57.8 | above usual · 152 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 152 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 11.5 | 15 | 15.6 | below usual · 32 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 32 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
D
R. DoohanGK90'
2 saves
17/23
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF60'
31/41
Pass
60%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
T
K. TobersDEF90'
68/73
Pass
71%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
D
A. DorringtonDEF90'
1 key pass · 7 clearances
61/71
Pass
20%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
J
A. JensenDEF90'
53/66
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
P
A. PalaversaMID84'
3 dribbles won
59/71
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
63/69
Pass
88%
Duels
-
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID60'
7/9
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
1 key pass
47/56
Pass
20%
Duels
1
Key P
O
J. OkkelsMID60'
18/21
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
H
P. H. GueyeFWD72'
1 key pass
9/19
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
M
J. MackenzieDEF30'
1 key pass
18/21
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
A
P. AmbroseFWD30'
2/3
Pass
67%
Duels
2
Shots
K. NisbetFWD30'
4/8
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
D
DukFWD18'
7/10
Pass
40%
Duels
-
Shots
M
S. MorrisFWD15'
3/3
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Hibernian — every meeting on record
1-3-6(10 games)
1.29–1.76avg xG (n=9)
DLDWLLLDLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.48avg 1.24
4th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.60avg 1.64
17th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
62%avg 53%
9th best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
7.0avg 12.2
5th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.7
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
23.0avg 24.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
67.0avg 56.6
8th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
4.0avg 9.2
4th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
8.0avg 6.0
8th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
10.0avg 17.3
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
3.0avg 6.6
7th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
24.1avg 15.3
5th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
77progressive passes
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LLDLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg