AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 19 Oct 2024 · Away
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Celtic
Celtic
2–2
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
3.21xG
-2.11AFC xGD
xG1.10
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Tight game
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A draw broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

8–32 shots · 2–4 big chances · 1.10–3.21 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.10 – 3.21
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.14 – 0.10
xG per shot
8 – 32
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was far as valuable.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
0.64 – 4.21
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
45% – 55%
field tilt
31 – 73
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
3.21 xGA
chances conceded
1.57 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
48 (base 24)
Celtic box touches
0.10
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 1.10Celtic 3.21GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
7%
12%
81%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.03.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Hatate0-2 · Furuhashi1-2 · Sokler2-2 · Shinnie
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots

Celtic Shot Map

2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
32 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

8shots · 4 on target
By situation
50%
13%
13%
25%
Open play450%
Counter113%
Corner113%
Free kick / throw225%
By body part
63%
25%
13%
Right foot563%
Left foot225%
Head113%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 8Celtic 32
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots89.912.114.4
below usual · 37 of 192 lower
Shots in the box55.97.99.8
below usual · 37 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
55.4%
30.7%
13.9%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
87.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
21avg 49
Directness
54.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes233371.9392
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 11 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %73.475.772.2
about normal · 94 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third1026.325.2
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 8 of 192 lower
Long balls3554.657.8
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 2 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes151515.6
about normal · 94 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
1 key pass · 5 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
6 clearances
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
3 interceptions · 11 clearances
G. MolloyDEF90'
6 clearances
M
J. MackenzieDEF89'
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 goal · 4 tackles
N
S. NilsenMID84'
K
T. KeskinenMID68'
C
L. ClarksonMID45'
M
J. McGrathMID90'
2 assists · 1 big chance created · 3 key passes
FWD
K. NisbetFWD45'
Substitutes
S
E. SoklerFWD45'
1 goal
D
DukFWD45'
M
S. MorrisFWD22'
P
A. PalaversaMID19'
J. MilneDEF8'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Celtic — every meeting on record
0-0-10(10 games)
0.57–2.93avg xG (n=7)
LLLLLLLLLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.10avg 1.22
19th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
3.21avg 1.60
4th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
27%avg 54%
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 4 December 2024 (0-1)
Shots
8.0avg 12.2
13th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
4.0avg 3.8
11th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
12th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
12.0avg 25.1
4th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
31.0avg 57.6
worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 33.0, 14 May 2025 (1-5)
Key passes
4.0avg 9.2
4th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 4 December 2024 (0-1)
Corners
2.0avg 6.2
6th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
23.0avg 17.0
3rd best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
8.0avg 6.5
10th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
19.2avg 15.5
9th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

21progressive passes
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:WWWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
32
Shots conceded
3rd highest of 409
23.40
Defensive line height
3rd lowest of 192
39
Passes in the opposition half
4th lowest of 192 · tied with 1
39.30
Average pass position
5th lowest of 192
1
Passes into the box
9th lowest of 192 · tied with 8
10
Final-third entries
10th lowest of 192 · tied with 1