Kilmarnock
4–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
4.02xG
-3.52AFC xGD
xG0.50
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
7–24 shots · 0–6 big chances · 0.50–4.02 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.50 – 4.02
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.07 – 0.17
xG per shot
7 – 24
shots
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
2.16 – 3.48
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
41% – 59%
field tilt
44 – 70
final-third entries
Kilmarnock had the better of the territorial battle.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
4.02 xGA
chances conceded
2.38 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
36 (base 24)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.17
xG per Kilmarnock shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.50Kilmarnock 4.02GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
97%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Kilmarnock Shot Map
4 goals: 2 open play, 2 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
24 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
7shots · 3 on target
By situation
57%
43%
Open play457%
Corner343%
By body part
29%
29%
43%
Right foot229%
Left foot229%
Head343%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 7Kilmarnock 24
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 25 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 25 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
59.1%
29.9%
11.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
87.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
29avg 49
Directness
54.6%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 382 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 90 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 90 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 75.1 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 111 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 111 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 16 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 32 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 32 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 59 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 103 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 103 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 15.4 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 102 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 102 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
3 saves
26/40
Pass
75%
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
4 shots
30/37
Pass
88%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
1 key pass · 15 clearances
32/40
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
8 clearances · 4 aerials won
49/59
Pass
54%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
6 tackles · 6 clearances
23/29
Pass
79%
Duels
6
Tkl+Int
MID
N
S. NilsenMID60'
18/27
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID68'
1 key pass
32/40
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
D
DukMID90'
1 key pass
10/15
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
2 key passes · 4 tackles · 4 aerials won
22/29
Pass
64%
Duels
2
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID61'
3 dribbles won
6/10
Pass
57%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
A
P. AmbroseFWD61'
6/8
Pass
45%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
P
A. PalaversaMID30'
5 clearances
20/25
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID29'
12/17
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
M
S. MorrisFWD29'
1 key pass
9/10
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Shots
K. NisbetFWD22'
3/5
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Kilmarnock — every meeting on record
2-0-4(6 games)
0.55–1.92avg xG (n=5)
LWLLLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.50avg 1.24
5th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
4.02avg 1.58
worst of 38 · Highest 3.68, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
53%avg 53%
17th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
7.0avg 12.2
5th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.7
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
19.0avg 24.9
10th worst of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
44.0avg 57.2
6th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
6.0avg 9.2
12th worst of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 6.2
11th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
21.0avg 17.0
8th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 6.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
12.1avg 15.7
17th best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4.02xGA
38th of 38 · season worst
-3.52xGD
38th of 38 · season worst
41%field tilt
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DDLDL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
4.02
xG conceded
4th highest of 230
-3.52
xG difference
6th lowest of 230