Aberdeen
1–3
FT · Loss
Hibernian
1.90xG
+0.46AFC xGD
xG1.44
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
15–7 shots · 3–3 big chances · 1.90–1.44 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.90 – 1.44
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.13 – 0.21
xG per shot
15 – 7
shots
Hibernian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
3.05 – 1.20
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
57% – 43%
field tilt
62 – 61
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.44 xGA
chances conceded
0.20 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
17 (base 24)
Hibernian box touches
0.21
xG per Hibernian shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.90Hibernian 1.44GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
48%
25%
27%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
3 goals: 3 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
15shots · 3 on target
By situation
67%
13%
13%
Open play1067%
Counter213%
Corner213%
Free kick / throw17%
By body part
40%
33%
27%
Right foot640%
Left foot533%
Head427%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 15Hibernian 7
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 129 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 129 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 11 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 147 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 147 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
43.1%
25.7%
31.2%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
78.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
63avg 49
Directness
56.5%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 443 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 127 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 127 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 70.9 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 69 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 69 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 31 | 26.3 | 25.2 | above usual · 139 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 139 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 80 | 54.6 | 57.8 | top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 18.1 | 15 | 15.6 | above usual · 147 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 147 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
D
R. DoohanGK90'
13/23
Pass
-
Duels
1
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF77'
12/18
Pass
43%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
6 tackles · 6 clearances · 8 aerials won
29/42
Pass
89%
Duels
8
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
10 clearances · 5 aerials won
42/63
Pass
64%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 key pass
42/52
Pass
17%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID77'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
37/42
Pass
86%
Duels
1
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID77'
1 key pass
43/55
Pass
43%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
2 key passes · 3 shots
28/37
Pass
56%
Duels
2
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID59'
1 assist · 2 key passes
23/29
Pass
0%
Duels
2
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID90'
1 goal · 2 big chances created · 3 key passes
20/26
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Key P
FWD
S
E. SoklerFWD59'
6/9
Pass
33%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
P
D. PolvaraMID31'
1 key pass
13/17
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Key P
A
P. AmbroseFWD31'
3 shots
2/3
Pass
0%
Duels
3
Shots
P
A. PalaversaMID13'
11/14
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
D
DukFWD13'
1 key pass
4/7
Pass
83%
Duels
-
Shots
M
S. MorrisFWD13'
1/2
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Hibernian at Home — every meeting on record
6-2-3(11 games)
1.37–1.24avg xG (n=9)
WLWDLDWWWLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.90avg 1.20
4th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
1.44avg 1.65
18th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
64%avg 53%
8th best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
15.0avg 12.0
9th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.8
11th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.6
7th best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
33.0avg 24.6
5th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
62.0avg 56.8
14th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
12.0avg 9.0
6th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
5.0avg 6.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
20.0avg 17.1
11th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
8.0avg 6.5
10th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
11.2avg 15.7
12th best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LDDLD(last 5)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
13
Passes into the box
8th highest of 192 · tied with 3