Aberdeen
3–2
FT · Win
Heart of Midlothian
0.69xG
-1.33AFC xGD
xG2.02
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Fortunate winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
The scoreline flattered Aberdeen relative to the chance quality.
11–11 shots · 0–5 big chances · 0.69–2.02 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.69 – 2.02
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.06 – 0.18
xG per shot
11 – 11
shots
Heart of Midlothian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.30 – 2.26
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
50% – 50%
field tilt
58 – 72
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.02 xGA
chances conceded
0.38 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
19 (base 24)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.18
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.69Heart of Midlothian 2.02GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
8%
18%
74%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
3 goals: 3 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
2 goals: 0 open play, 2 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
11shots · 3 on target
By situation
91%
9%
Open play1091%
Corner19%
By body part
64%
9%
27%
Right foot764%
Left foot19%
Head327%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11Heart of Midlothian 11
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 80 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 10 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 136 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 136 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
49.8%
28.9%
21.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
87.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
64avg 49
Directness
56.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 501 | 371.9 | 392 | above usual · 165 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 165 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 79.4 | 75.7 | 72.2 | above usual · 157 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 157 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 28 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 120 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 120 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 55 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 11 | 15 | 15.6 | below usual · 24 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 24 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
25/32
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 goal
31/42
Pass
60%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
13 clearances
51/60
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
4 interceptions · 8 clearances
56/71
Pass
63%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
31/37
Pass
20%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 key pass
65/75
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID90'
2 key passes
66/76
Pass
57%
Duels
2
Key P
K
T. KeskinenMID72'
1 goal
10/15
Pass
30%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID61'
1 key pass
25/33
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID72'
1 assist · 1 key pass · 6 tackles
25/30
Pass
79%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD61'
1 key pass · 5 aerials won
7/8
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
D
DukFWD29'
2 key passes
6/8
Pass
75%
Duels
1
Shots
S
E. SoklerFWD29'
1 assist · 1 key pass
2/5
Pass
33%
Duels
2
Shots
M
S. MorrisFWD18'
1 key pass
5/5
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Shots
P
A. PalaversaMID18'
1 goal · 1 key pass
16/19
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Heart of Midlothian at Home — every meeting on record
1-0-0(1 game)
2.66–1.83avg xG
W
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.69avg 1.23
10th worst of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
2.02avg 1.63
9th worst of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
56%avg 53%
19th best of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
11.0avg 12.1
19th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
3.0avg 3.8
19th worst of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.7
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 26 November 2024 (3-3)
Box touches
31.0avg 24.6
9th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
58.0avg 56.9
19th best of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
11.0avg 9.0
10th best of 38 · Highest 19.0, 5 August 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
2.0avg 6.2
6th worst of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
16.0avg 17.2
19th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
15.0avg 6.3
best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
13.3avg 15.6
19th best of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWWW(last 5)
Home this season: 10-4-5, 1.49–1.37 xG avg