St. Mirren
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.22xG
-0.75AFC xGD
xG0.47
Expected points 2.26–0.73
Deserved defeatMatch in 30 seconds
Standout performer
7.7G. Shinnie
G. Shinnie ran the show — a 7.7 rating.
Controlled the ball
62%possession · 53% avg
Aberdeen dominated the ball — 62% possession against a 53% season average.
Aggressive press
9.2PPDA · 12.8 avg
Aberdeen pressed hard — 9.2 passes allowed per defensive action versus a 12.8 average (lower is more aggressive).
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 0 pts · expected 0.73 · -0.73
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?0% luck · mostly down to skill
About 0% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.47St. Mirren 1.22GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
The opponent created more — 1.22 xG to Aberdeen's 0.47. Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.47
1.22
1.22
Shots
7
10
12
Shots on target
0
4
4
Big chances
0
1
2
Box touches
23
17
25
xG per shot
0.07
0.12
0.10
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
62%
38%
53%
Field tilt
51%
49%
53%
Progressive passes
54
—
52
Final-third entries
59
66
57
xT (threat created)
2.76
—
1.95
Without the ball
A controlled defensive display — 1.22 xGA, below the season average. The press was aggressive (PPDA 9.2).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
1.22
0.47
1.64
PPDA
9.2
—
12.8
High regains
4
—
6
Tackles
16
—
17
Interceptions
8
—
7
Opp. box touches
17
23
24
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0shots on target
38th of 38 · season worst
0.47xG
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DWWDW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
After scoring first: 14-2-2 (18 games)